RWA market cap$39.1B1.0%
Stablecoin market cap$293.6B0.1%
US Treasury Debt$14.9B1.4%
Commodities$5.2B1.1%
Active Strategies$4.1B2.5%
Stocks$3.2B1.1%
Asset-Backed Credit$2.9B3.4%
Specialty Finance$2.7B1.3%
Corporate Credit$1.7B0.2%
Private Equity$1.3B0.0%
Venture Capital$1.0B2.2%
non-US Government Debt$927M4.5%
Diversified Credit$808M0.0%
Real Estate$227M0.0%
Municipal Credit$310.6%
RWA market cap$39.1B1.0%
Stablecoin market cap$293.6B0.1%
US Treasury Debt$14.9B1.4%
Commodities$5.2B1.1%
Active Strategies$4.1B2.5%
Stocks$3.2B1.1%
Asset-Backed Credit$2.9B3.4%
Specialty Finance$2.7B1.3%
Corporate Credit$1.7B0.2%
Private Equity$1.3B0.0%
Venture Capital$1.0B2.2%
non-US Government Debt$927M4.5%
Diversified Credit$808M0.0%
Real Estate$227M0.0%
Municipal Credit$310.6%
← ResearchPodcast · Weekly Review

Knife Fight in a Phone Booth

Johnny ReinschOctober 9, 20268 min read
Knife Fight in a Phone Booth

The US regulatory picture snapped into sharper focus this week, and the market responded by doing what it always does when rules start to make sense: building. The CFTC filed its first major crypto market structure proposal, OKX and ICE filed the first tokenized stock notice under the SEC's innovation exemption, Securitize expanded its stock offering, and USDO went live. Meanwhile, the EU quietly moved to fix its MiCA stablecoin rules, and Mike Cagney took yet another swing. Not a bad week for a market still knife-fighting in a phone booth.

Market KPIs (brought to you by RWA.xyz)

📈 RWA market cap was up slightly WoW to $39.0 billion
🏆 Biggest RWA winner: JP Morgan's JLTXX added $100M in one of their money market funds
🏆 Biggest network winner: Ethereum added $160M

📈 Stablecoin market cap was flat at ~$295.0 billion
🏆 Biggest stablecoin winner: Falcon USD added ~$350M
🏆 Biggest network winner: Ethereum added just under $600M

📈 Onchain risk free rates:
Short term treasuries (1m): 3.90%
Aave / DeFi: 4.16% (onchain rate premium is back, roughly 30 bps above short-term treasuries)


CFTC Proposes Reg CTX and CAM: The First Federal Framework for Retail Crypto Trading

CFTC Chairman Mike Seleg announced this week that the agency is moving forward with its own market structure rulemaking. The result is an advanced notice of proposed rulemaking that introduces Reg CTX and a new registered venue type called the Crypto Asset Market, or CAM. The proposal would create federal oversight over leveraged, margined, or financed retail crypto transactions. Futures, options, swaps, and perps stay under existing CFTC derivative frameworks. Pure spot transactions remain under standard state-level money transmitter rules, as they always have been, covering products like MoonPay and the original Coinbase on-ramp business. A 60-day comment period is now open.

The safeguards baked into the proposal read like a sensible checklist: margin caps for retail, listing standards, proof of reserves for exchanges holding customer assets in omnibus accounts, AML requirements, and customer account segregation. None of this is a surprise, but it matters enormously that it's being formalized at the federal level.

From my perspective, this is genuinely exciting, and not just as a box-checking exercise. One of the things I liked most in the proposal is the anti-manipulation language embedded in the listing standards. If this rule passes anything close to the current draft, it effectively eviscerates the low-float, high-FDV token launch playbook that has dominated the space. If you've looked at any of those token charts lately, you know exactly the chart shape I'm talking about: big spike, slow bleed, endless supply unlock. Rebuilding retail trust in this space requires some structural constraints on that behavior, and this proposal starts to do that.

Together with the SEC's recent activity, the CFTC is filling the gaps that the CLARITY Act would have filled if it had passed. We don't need it to pass to get a functioning rule book. We're getting one anyway. That's progress.


OKX and ICE File the First Tokenized Stock Notice Under the SEC's Innovation Exemption

A few weeks ago the SEC announced its innovation exemption for tokenized stocks. This week we got the first filing under it. OKX and ICE, the parent company of the NYSE, have formed a 50/50 joint venture co-chaired by Andrew Cuomo, yes, that Andrew Cuomo, to operate as a Tokenized Stock Platform, or TSP, under the exemption. They've notified the SEC and launched with an initial list of around 60 US stocks. The platform runs on OKX's X Layer chain, with trading routed through Uniswap. A 30-day objection window is now open for issuers who don't want their stock traded on a tokenized venue. So far, Cerebrus has objected. AMC may have been quietly removed from the list already.

What caught my attention was the specific names on the stock list. There is no General Mills, no Nestle, no staples. The list reads like a paired bet on AI and tokenization: NVIDIA, Tesla, Robinhood, Figure, Securitize, Circle, SpaceX. The team clearly looked at what people actually want to trade in tokenized form, because it maps almost exactly to what Charlie's team at RWA.xyz sees at the top of the interest tables: Circle, Securitize, MicroStrategy, SpaceX, QQQ, the S&P 500, NVIDIA, Tesla. Having a QQQ or index beta trade in the mix is particularly interesting because it creates a natural anchor for strategies that want to pair against alpha positions. This menu is going to unlock a lot of creativity.

I also want to highlight a piece that Billy Sanders from Reserve Protocol and the Digital Securities Initiative published on the TAC Research Hub this week. Billy, who holds a math PhD, dug into what the caps inside the innovation exemption actually mean in practice. The SEC set a cap of 25 basis points of aggregate daily trading volume across the relevant names. That sounds small, but when you apply some reasonable assumptions, Billy found that a single TSP could theoretically handle roughly a third of Uniswap's daily trading volume, around 40% of PancakeSwap's, 120% of Aerodrome's, and about 3x Radium's. We're not going to hit those numbers on day one, but a third of Uniswap is not nothing. I came away from that piece with a lot more respect for the methodology the SEC used. It's a sensible starting point, not a ceiling. Highly recommend reading it.

ICE's involvement here is worth a beat of its own. They also did a deal with Polymarket, investing at a reported $10 billion valuation. They are the heavy hitter in the traditional exchange space, and they are clearly positioning themselves to observe, participate in, and potentially acquire their way into whatever tokenized market structure emerges. They don't need this to work. But if it does work, they will be extremely well positioned. That's the asymmetric upside bet, and they're smart to be making it.


The EU Quietly Moves to Fix MiCA's Stablecoin Problem

This one went a bit under the radar, but it matters. When MiCA was designed, the reserve requirements for stablecoin issuers in the EU were structurally punishing. Issuers had to hold a significant portion of reserves in bank deposits, with a material chunk specifically inside EU banks. For a USD-denominated stablecoin issuer like Circle, that means you can't simply hand reserves to BlackRock to manage in a US Treasury money market fund. You have to route money through a European bank to access that same basic yield. More intermediaries, more cost, less revenue. It was protectionist by design.

The result was predictable. Euro stablecoin supply cratered from roughly 1% of total stablecoin market cap to about 25 basis points as USD stablecoins continued to dominate. No one was building Euro stablecoin products with enthusiasm because there was no money in it.

This week, the ECB and the European System of Central Banks weighed in on the European Commission's MiCA review and proposed doing away with the bank deposit reserve floors entirely. The new framework would look a lot more like what the GENIUS Act established in the US: AAA or A+ rated bonds with defined liquidity and maturity buckets. That's a meaningful shift. If adopted, it dramatically improves the economics for Euro stablecoin issuers and removes the constant rebalancing headache that made operations so complex.

Where I think this actually shows up in practice is with the Revoluts and Monzos of the world, the large European neobanks that have every reason to offer Euro-denominated payment rails to their customers. Lower the barrier to profitable Euro stablecoin issuance, and you make the business case a lot cleaner for those institutions to build the product. Worth watching, especially as USD stablecoin dominance has been so total that nothing has even lapped at its heels.


Mike Cagney's Third Act: Navra Raises $19M to Build the Tokenized Asset Wallet

Mike Cagney took SoFi from student loan refinancing to a full-service neobank. He took Figure from a HELOC product on a permissioned blockchain to a full-stack ATS, brokerage, 40 Act fund, and capital markets infrastructure company. Now he's starting a wallet.

His new company, Navra, raised $19 million in a Series A led by Ribbit, which also led Figure's original seed round. DCM, Baseline, Jump Crypto, and Figure itself all participated. Figure is Navra's first named partner, which is notable because Figure Markets has not historically allowed third-party wallets. If you tried to connect MetaMask or any other external wallet, you couldn't. Navra will be the first third-party wallet to operate with Figure Markets.

From what I've seen, this will use MPC-based infrastructure so the user experience doesn't require managing a private key. It will natively offer democratized prime yield through Figure's Yields Pro product and access to other offerings through the Figure marketplace.

Starting a wallet is genuinely hard. The moat is low because switching costs are low, especially in a DeFi-native context. The consumer go-to-market is brutal. Mike knows all of this. He took the pain of building a consumer student loan brand in San Francisco, and he took the pain of building regulated tokenization infrastructure during the Biden administration. He is very good at taking pain in highly regulated markets where most builders don't want to bother. If anyone can demonstrate what a true self-custody tokenized asset wallet looks like for a mainstream audience, it's him. I'm watching closely.


Securitize Expands Tokenized Stock Offering with Major Names

TAC member Securitize this week announced the expansion of its tokenized stock offering to include Apple, Microsoft, NVIDIA, Alphabet, Tesla, Meta, Amazon, SpaceX, Palantir, Circle, and Strategy. Charlie had called this one a few months ago when Securitize launched its prop AMM under its ATS license: once you build that infrastructure, the next move is obviously to populate it with the names people actually want to trade.

The mechanics here are important. Securitize is currently using securities entitlements, which is the dominant wrapper for tokenized stock exposure at scale today, used by platforms like Global Markets and Alpaca as well. It's not the purest form of tokenization, but it's how you get to market quickly and at volume. What they're setting up for, in my read, is a clean pathway from the entitlement wrapper to natively issued tokenized shares via their relationships with transfer agents Pacific and Computer Share, which they've already made public moves on.

The reason this matters more than it appears: if you're an AI agent with a wallet, you don't care about the distinction between an entitlement and a natively issued token at the protocol level, but you do care about yield optimization, looping strategies, and structural price parity between the DeFi version and the brokerage version. Maintaining that one-to-one price relationship between the two forms is what prevents structural arbitrage drag on the DeFi side. That's what Securitize is building toward. This is a step inside a larger roadmap, and that roadmap is Carlos Domingo's master plan unfolding one increment at a time.


USDO Goes Live on Base, Ethereum, Solana, and Tempo

Open USD, the stablecoin consortium that includes Coinbase, Mastercard, Shopify, Stripe, and Visa (some Korean companies that were announced as participants later clarified they were not involved), has gone live. USDO is now issued through Bridge, which Stripe acquired, and Stripe has made it the default stablecoin across its products.

Not much more to say here except: this is live. The consortium announced, and now it's running. For a project this large, with this many logos attached, getting to live is the milestone. What comes next is adoption and volume data, and we'll be watching that closely.


Shoutouts

Big congratulations to the teams at OKX and ICE on the joint venture filing. Watching ICE lean this far into the tokenized equity space is a signal that the traditional exchange world is not sleeping on what's happening here.

Shoutout to Billy Sanders from Reserve Protocol and the Digital Securities Initiative for the excellent breakdown of the SEC innovation exemption caps published on the TAC Research Hub this week. Genuinely one of the more useful pieces of quantitative analysis on the exemption that's been published anywhere.

And congrats to Mike Cagney and the Navra team on the Series A close. Watching the best FinTech founder of his generation go self-custody native is a good sign for the whole ecosystem.


Watch or listen to the full episode on Spotify.

Keep reading
Keep reading

More from the coalition.